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Fall Color Peeping
MN DNR Fall Color Update
Hey, it’s Halloween next Wednesday and thanks to @Climatologist49 on Twitter for the image below, which shows the historical probability of a white Halloween.
White Halloweens in Minneapolis
Here’s a look at snowfall data on Halloween for Minneapolis and since 1899 (119 years of data), there has only been snow reported on 20 days and only 6 days with measureable snow (0.1″ or more). Of course, who could forget the Halloween Blizzard of 1991. A record 8.2″ of snow fell on Halloween day itself, but the storm dumped a total of 28.4″ at the MSP Airport – UNREAL!
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What’s in the Night Sky?
According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights:
“Tonight, now that the moon is in a waning gibbous phase and gone from the sky in early evening, find the Andromeda galaxy, the great spiral galaxy next door to our Milky Way. It’s the most distant thing you can see with your eye alone. It’s best seen in the evening at this time of year, assuming you’re in the Northern Hemisphere. Most people find the galaxy by star-hopping from the constellation Cassiopeia, which is a very noticeable M- or W-shaped pattern on the sky’s dome. I learned to find the Andromeda galaxy by star-hopping from the Great Square of Pegasus, to the two graceful streams of stars making up the constellation Andromeda. Look at the chart at the top of this post. It shows both constellations – Cassiopeia and Andromeda – so you can see the galaxy’s location with respect to both. Notice the star Schedar in Cassiopeia. It’s the constellation’s brightest star, and it points to the galaxy. Now let’s take a closer look at the other way to find this galaxy:”
Praedictix Briefing: Friday, October 26th, 2018
- A developing low will move up the East Coast into the weekend, bringing heavy rain, high winds, and coastal flooding along with it.
- One of the major impacts will be strong winds, especially near the coast. Parts of eastern Long Island and coastal areas of Rhode Island and Massachusetts could see wind gusts of 50-60 mph Saturday, with wind gusts up to 50 mph possible in New York City. Numerous High Wind Watches and Warnings along with Wind Advisories are in effect from Massachusetts to New Jersey.
- Minor to moderate coastal flooding will be possible from Connecticut to New Jersey Saturday morning/afternoon around high tide, with vulnerable areas along the coast seeing a saltwater inundation of 1-3 feet above ground level.
- This system will also bring the potential of 1-3″ of rain along with it which could lead to some minor flooding.
- We’re also tracking Super Typhoon Yutu, which could impact parts of Taiwan and the northern Philippines next week.
Coastal Storm This Weekend. A developing area of low pressure will move up the East Coast into the weekend, bringing heavy rain, high winds, and coastal flooding along with it. The greatest impacts for areas like New York City and Boston are expected tonight into Saturday, with drier weather working back on into the region Sunday.
High Winds Saturday. One of the major impacts from this coastal low will be strong winds. Winds will start to increase tonightacross the region, peaking during the day on Saturday. Wind gusts of 40+ mph will be possible in New York City (especially Saturday morning) with 50+ mph gusts possible across parts of eastern Long Island and coastal areas of Massachusetts, including Boston. These strong winds will have the potential to blow down trees and power lines with widespread power outages possible.
High Wind Warnings. Due to the high wind potential, numerous High Wind Watches and Warnings along with Wind Advisories are in effect from Massachusetts to New Jersey. High Wind Warnings cover eastern Long Island from 4 AM to Noon Saturday for wind gusts up to 55 mph. High Wind Watches cover areas near the coast in Rhode Island and Massachusetts, including Boston, Saturday with wind gusts of 50-60 mph possible. New York City is under a Wind Advisory from 1 AM to Noon Saturday for wind gusts up to 50 mph.
Coastal Flood Concerns. This system will also bring the potential of coastal flooding along with it. Numerous Coastal Flood Watches, Warnings, and Advisories are in effect from Connecticut to New Jersey Saturday morning/afternoon for minor to moderate coastal flooding around high tide. Vulnerable areas along the coast could see a saltwater inundation of 1-3 feet above ground level.
Heavy Rain Potential. A widespread 1-2″ of rain will be possible from Virginia Beach into southern Maine with this coastal storm as it moves on through the region this weekend. Parts of Cape Cod could see isolated totals up to 3″. This could cause some minor flooding, especially across urban areas and low-lying roads.
Super Typhoon Yutu. We’re also tracking Super Typhoon Yutu, which brought major damage over the past couple days to the Northern Mariana Islands. On the island of Saipan, power may take weeks to be restored to everyone. This system will continue to move to the west into next week and slowly weaken, but it could bring hurricane-force winds to parts of Taiwan and the northern Philippines by next Wednesday local time.
D.J. Kayser, Meteorologist, Praedictix
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3-7 Day Hazard Forecast
1.) Periods of heavy precipitation over western Washington, Mon-Fri, Oct 29-Nov 2.
2.) Periods of heavy precipitation over portions of the northern Rockies, Wed-Fri, Oct 31-Nov 2.
3.) Heavy snow for portions of the central Rockies, Wed-Thu, Oct 31-Nov 1.
4.) Periods of heavy rain from the general vicinity of the Lower Mississippi Valley northeast to the Upper Ohio Valley, Wed-Fri, Oct 31-Nov 2.
5.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation from the Lower Mississippi Valley eastward and northeastward to most of the Atlantic Coast, Sat, Nov 3.
6.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation for the northern and central Rockies, Sat-Sun, Nov 3-4.
7.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation for south-central and southeastern Alaska (including the Panhandle), Sat-Fri, Nov 3-9.
8. High winds and high significant wave heights for southwestern Alaska, Tue-Fri, Nov 6-9.
Flooding imminent/occurring over parts of Texas, and along the banks of the north-central Mississippi River.
9.) Severe Drought across the Central Rockies, the Northeast, the Central Great Basin, the Northern Plains, the Southern Plains, the Northern Great Basin, the Southern Rockies, California, the Northern Rockies, the Alaska Panhandle, the Pacific Northwest, and the Southwest.
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Atlantic Update
Things have quieted down a bit in the Atlantic basin, but NOAA’s NHC is tracking a wave of energy in the Central Atlantic that has a high probability of tropical formation over the next 5 days.
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