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Weather Discussion
Models Predict Mild Bias Into January – Worst California Drought Since Late 1800s
November: Pond Hockey or Boating? Live long enough and you’ll see almost everything. Our lake has an unwritten, unspoken contest to see who can be the last family with a dock and boat still in the water. A chilling badge of honor, I guess. At the rate we’re going I...
1-3 Feet of Snow Black Hills – “Lumpy Hurricane Data” – Why Wet Bulb Temperatures Better Predict Heat Impacts
Reflecting On Another Supersized Summer The outlook calls for more cold fronts in the weeks to come. A temperature recession is as inevitable as gravity as longer nights brew up increasingly nippy airmasses to our north. That said, we just had another super-sized...
Insane Precipitation Extremes Across US Last 12 Months – Mild Bias To Linger Into Late October
The Profound Perils of Predicting Weather You can only learn so much out of a book. Exhibit A: predicting the weather. Meteorologists study calculus, physics and chemistry, but at the end of the day we learn by making mistakes. Lot’s of mistakes. It’s a painful (and...
2021 Running Just Behind 2020 For Most Billion-Dollar Disasters – Drought and Hydropower – Is Grid Ready for Renewable Revolution?
Rain and 40 Mph Gusts On Tap Wednesday History shows meteorologists are most on edge when their hometowns are “on the edge”. On the edge of rain/snow. On the edge of sun and clouds (sunny days are often 5-20F warmer than gray days). On the edge of a tight rainfall or...
Western Snow And Central Heavy Rain – October 11, 2021
National Weather Forecast An area of low pressure and associated fronts will continue to produce showers and storms Monday from the Great Lakes south to the western Gulf Coast. The other main story is a system out in the Great Basin, producing the first widespread...
Heavy Northern Plains Rain – October 9, 2021
National Weather Forecast On Saturday, an area of low pressure will be moving out of the Great Basin into the upper Midwest, producing showers and thunderstorms. Some areas back into the Rockies could see some snow as well from this system. An area of low pressure off...