by Paul Douglas | Oct 13, 2021 | Weather
The Profound Perils of Predicting Weather You can only learn so much out of a book. Exhibit A: predicting the weather. Meteorologists study calculus, physics and chemistry, but at the end of the day we learn by making mistakes. Lot’s of mistakes. It’s a painful (and...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 12, 2021 | Weather
Rain and 40 Mph Gusts On Tap Wednesday History shows meteorologists are most on edge when their hometowns are “on the edge”. On the edge of rain/snow. On the edge of sun and clouds (sunny days are often 5-20F warmer than gray days). On the edge of a tight rainfall or...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 7, 2021 | Weather
Weather Models Are Only A First Guess My father still thinks I forecast weather by looking out a west-facing window. I have nothing against using an “Amish Doppler” to gauge the current state of the clouds and sky. To be able to predict the future one needs to first...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 6, 2021 | Weather
Extended Forecast Is Up In The Air ”Autumn is the hardest season. The leaves are all falling, and they’re falling like they’re falling in love with the ground” wrote Andrea Gibson. With weather, every day is different and every autumn is different. The patterns may be...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 5, 2021 | Weather
A Year Without a Winter? Dream On No, winter has not been canceled. Delayed by a few weeks? Yes. I vaguely remember dreaming about a year without a winter in Minnesota: 30s and 40s, no snow to speak of, just rain and ice. That scenario is unlikely through mid-century,...
