Heavier Rain For New England – National Weather Outlook For October 21, 2023

by | Oct 21, 2023 | Weather

National Weather Forecast

We’re still watching a couple of systems that’ll bring rain chances across the Great Lakes into the Northeast on Saturday. As we head toward late Saturday and Saturday Night, we’ll see rain and higher-elevation snow chances in the Pacific Northwest.

The heaviest rain through the weekend will be in the Northeastern United States, where over 3” of rain could fall in some locations. Of course, it’s warm enough for all rain – even if the mountains would prefer snow to help jumpstart ski season.

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U.S. Winter Outlook: Wetter South, warmer North

More from NOAA: “This year, El Nino is in place heading into winter for the first time in four years, driving the outlook for warmer-than-average temperatures for the northern tier of the continental United States, according to NOAA’s U.S. Winter Outlook released today by the Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service. … From December through February, NOAA predicts wetter-than-average conditions for northern Alaska, portions of the West, the southern Plains, Southeast, Gulf Coast and lower mid-Atlantic and drier-than-average conditions across the northern tier of the U.S., especially in the northern Rockies and High Plains and near the Great Lakes.”

Atlantic hurricanes are getting stronger faster than they did 40 years ago

More from Popular Science: “There is about a month and a half left in the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane season, and it’s a season that has seen some rapidly intensifying storms. In less than 24 hours, Hurricane Idalia went from a Category 1 hurricane to a Category 4 with winds near 130 MPH. The storm made landfall on Florida’s Gulf Coast as a high Category 3. Weeks later, Hurricane Lee grew from a Category 1 storm to a Category 5 in only 24 hours. According to a study published October 19 in the journal Scientific Reports, Atlantic hurricanes may be more than twice as likely to strengthen from a Category 1 storm to a major Category 3 hurricane or higher in a 24-hour period than they were between 1970 and 1990. They also are more likely to strengthen more rapidly along the east coast of the United States.”

Hurricane Ian stirred up flesh-eating bacteria in Florida

More from Grist: “Hurricane Ian slammed into southwest Florida as a category 4 storm in September last year, killing 149 people — the most deaths attributable to a single hurricane in the state in nearly a century. But the official death count didn’t include one of the most gruesome ways people died as a result of the storm. A study published this week found that Hurricane Ian led to a spike in cases of vibriosis, a life-threatening illness caused by a water-borne bacteria called Vibrio, in Florida. In Lee County, where Ian made landfall, 38 people were sickened by the bacteria and 11 people ultimately died in the month following the storm — the highest number of Vibrio cases in a single month in Florida in more than 30 years. There had been no reported cases of Vibrio in the state in the week leading up to the hurricane.”

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– D.J. Kayser