National Weather Forecast

Two major systems will be impacting the United States as we head through Thursday. The center of Nicole will be moving across the Florida Peninsula, bringing strong winds, heavy rain, and a continued coastal flooding/storm surge threat. An area of low pressure in the upper Midwest will bring areas from the Dakotas and northern Minnesota the first major winter storm and blizzard for the season (including snow and ice) and on the warm side the potential of severe weather.

3-7” of rain is expected to fall across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic states through Friday in association with Nicole. Meanwhile, a foot or more of snow could fall across portions of North Dakota into northwestern Minnesota.

Here’s a closer look at potential snow and ice totals expected across the Upper Midwest. Again, over a foot of snow could fall in areas like Bismarck. Meanwhile, some of the heavier ice potential will be in the Pierre and Aberdeen areas, where icing up to half an inch is possible.

Meanwhile, Nicole was still a tropical storm moving through the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday afternoon and is expected to make landfall along the eastern Florida coast Wednesday night as either a strong tropical storm or a category 1 hurricane. The system will continue to impact the Southeast through the end of the week with heavy rain and strong/gusty winds, and along the coast we will watch the potential of storm surge and coastal flooding.

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Al Gore-affiliated group finds systematic emissions underreporting

More from Axios: “A coalition of groups using satellite observations, artificial intelligence and machine learning revealed on Wednesday the most comprehensive facility-level accounting of global carbon emissions. Why it matters: The information can be used by regulators, journalists and investors to put pressure on governments and corporations to cut their emissions. Driving the news: In a report released at COP27 in Egypt, the Climate TRACE coalition, which counts former Vice President Al Gore as a founding financial backer and participant, unveiled its latest census of global emissions from 2021. The organization can be thought of as a high-tech watchdog effort to keep tabs on planet-warming emissions from every country, industrial facility and power plant on Earth.

John Kerry just announced a new carbon credit plan at COP27

More from Protocol: “On Wednesday, John Kerry unveiled a plan for a new carbon credit program aimed at mobilizing private capital to help middle-income countries transition away from coal and move towards renewable energy. The plan, dubbed the Energy Transition Accelerator, was announced in partnership with the Bezos Earth Fund and the Rockefeller Foundation. Kerry, who is the Biden administration’s climate envoy, told an audience at the COP27 climate conference happening in Egypt that the goal is to “have this up and running no later than COP28,” which will take place next year in Dubai. The accelerator would allow companies to buy carbon credits, which would fund renewable energy projects in developing countries. Those companies would then be able to count the emissions cuts towards the reaching of their own net zero goals.

Africa Loses 34% of GDP at 1.5° Warming, ‘Grim’ New Report Concludes

More from The Energy Mix: “Countries across Africa could lose 14% of their per capita GDP to climate change by 2050 and 34% by 2100, even if average global warming is held to 1.5°C, according to a report released this morning at this year’s UN climate conference, COP 27, in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt. On the world’s current emissions trajectory, which points to a roughly 2.7° increase, the losses would reach 20% by 2050 and 64% by 2100 for a continent already rocked by the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, rising interest rates, a deepening debt crisis, and austerity imposed by donor nations and institutions, concludes the economic analysis produced by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis for Christian Aid.

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– D.J. Kayser