by D.J. Kayser | Oct 8, 2021 | Weather
National Weather Forecast Showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Friday with a couple of areas of low pressure stretching from the Great Lakes to the Southeastern United States. An area of low pressure off the Carolina coast will bring some heavier rain and...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 7, 2021 | Weather
Weather Models Are Only A First Guess My father still thinks I forecast weather by looking out a west-facing window. I have nothing against using an “Amish Doppler” to gauge the current state of the clouds and sky. To be able to predict the future one needs to first...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 6, 2021 | Weather
Extended Forecast Is Up In The Air ”Autumn is the hardest season. The leaves are all falling, and they’re falling like they’re falling in love with the ground” wrote Andrea Gibson. With weather, every day is different and every autumn is different. The patterns may be...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 5, 2021 | Weather
A Year Without a Winter? Dream On No, winter has not been canceled. Delayed by a few weeks? Yes. I vaguely remember dreaming about a year without a winter in Minnesota: 30s and 40s, no snow to speak of, just rain and ice. That scenario is unlikely through mid-century,...
by Paul Douglas | Oct 1, 2021 | Weather
Beware of Extended Winter Outlooks Beware of gloom and doom winter forecasts. They’re rarely right. The science just isn’t there. It’s the rough equivalent of predicting where the stock market (or pandemic) will be in February. Nope. Keep in mind, only 1 in 4...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 30, 2021 | Weather
Exposure To Wildfire Smoke Is A Health Risk What happens in Vegas doesn’t stay in Vegas, and the recent swirl of western wildfire smoke didn’t stay in California. New research shows an average of 8-10 weeks of smoke every year in Minnesota between 2016 and 2020. This...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 29, 2021 | Weather
Weather Entering An Unusual Holding Pattern ”Paul, what’s the jet stream up to these days?” Great question. Glad you asked. Upper level steering winds are unusually light for late September. In fact, weather models predict an odd holding pattern into early October as...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 28, 2021 | Weather
A Taste of Autumn Into Thursday ”80s in late September. Paul, is this a symptom of a warming planet?” Yes and no. Most of this is natural weather variability, amplified by the warming signal we see all around us. Warmer background temperatures (atmosphere and oceans)...
by D.J. Kayser | Sep 27, 2021 | Weather
National Weather Forecast A system in the Pacific Northwest will bring rain across the region into northern California, with some snow mixing in in the higher elevations like the Cascades. A frontal boundary near the Northeast will bring shower chances. Some storms...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 24, 2021 | Weather
You Might Want To Get Your Boat Out Soon I’m increasingly baffled by the definition of “nice weather”. A 3-day, 3-inch rainstorm would qualify as great weather news amid the worst drought since 1988. ”If you wait a few more weeks you may not be able to get your boat...
