Tornado Threat Across The Deep South – National Weather Outlook For February 16, 2023

by | Feb 16, 2023 | Weather

National Weather Forecast

A strong storm will continue to track northeastward as we head through Thursday with the center of low pressure moving into the Ohio Valley. On the north side, a heavy band of snow with some icing will occur from the Central Plains to New England. In the warm sector, storms are expected – some of which will be severe.

A band of at least 4-10” of snow will fall from Colorado to the Great Lakes as we head through Thursday. On the warm side of the storm, up to 3” of rain could fall across portions of the Deep South and Tennessee River Valley.

Severe Threat Thursday: An Enhanced Risk of severe weather (threat level 3 of 5) is in place from the Ohio River Valley to the northern Gulf Coast states. This threat area includes places like Hattiesburg and Tupelo (MS), Birmingham and Huntsville (AL), Nashville (TN), Bowling Green and Louisville (KY), and Cincinnati and Columbus (OH).

  • Across the northern Gulf Coast states, storms will already be ongoing in the morning hours, with additional storms expected as we head throughout the day. All severe modes, including tornadoes (some strong), will be possible as we head throughout the day. Toward the evening hours, the severe threat will slowly start to taper off as individual storms become more linear – but during this time tornadoes and damaging winds will still be possible.
  • In the Ohio Valley/lower Great Lakes, storms will also already be ongoing in the morning hours, but the severe threat mainly holds off until the afternoon and evening. Damaging winds will be the greatest threat from strong storms Thursday, but a tornado threat can’t be ruled out.

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– D.J. Kayser