National Weather Forecast
A frontal boundary near the Gulf Coast into the Mid-Atlantic will produce showers and storms on Monday, some of which could contain heavy rain. Another frontal boundary in the Great Lakes will also produce some isolated storms. A system working into the Pacific Northeast will bring the region some rain chances. Otherwise, scattered storms are expected in the Rockies and Great Basin, and the Northeast. As we head into the week, the heat bubble starts to expand northeastward out of the Southwest.
The heaviest rain through Tuesday will fall across portions of the Southeast – particularly in the Big Bend of Florida – where some areas could see at least 2-4” of rainfall.
NOAA Launches New Hurricane Forecast Model As Atlantic Season Starts Strong
More from CleanTechnica: “NOAA’s National Hurricane Center — a division of the National Weather Service — has a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts this season. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model. “The quick deployment of HAFS marks a milestone in NOAA’s commitment to advancing our hurricane forecasting capabilities, and ensuring continued improvement of services to the American public,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “Development, testing and evaluations were jointly carried out between scientists at NOAA Research and the National Weather Service, marking a seamless transition from development to operations.” Running the experimental version of HAFS from 2019 to 2022 showed a 10-15% improvement in track predictions compared to NOAA’s existing hurricane models. HAFS is expected to continue increasing forecast accuracy, therefore reducing storm impacts to lives and property.”
Greenland Melted Recently, Shows High Risk of Sea Level Rise Today
More from UConn Today: “During the Cold War, a secret U.S. Army mission, at Camp Century in northwestern Greenland, drilled down through 4,560 feet of ice on the frozen island—and then kept drilling, to pull out a 12-foot-long tube of soil and rock from below the ice. Then this icy sediment was lost in a freezer for decades. It was accidentally rediscovered in 2017 and shown to hold not just sediment but also leaves and moss, remnants of an ice-free landscape, perhaps a boreal forest. But how long ago were those plants growing in an area that today is an ice sheet two miles thick and three times the size of Texas? An international team of scientists, including UConn Earth Sciences Associate Professor Julie Fosdick, was amazed to discover that Greenland was a truly green land only 416,000 years ago (give or take about 38,000 years).”
Climate science is catching up to climate change with predictions that could improve proactive response
More from the University of California – Santa Barbara: “In Africa, climate change impacts are experienced as extreme events like drought and floods. Through the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (which leverages expertise from USG science agencies, universities, and the private sector) and the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Center, it has been possible to predict and monitor these climatic events, providing early warning of their impacts on agriculture to support humanitarian and resilience programming in the most food insecure countries of the world. Science is beginning to catch up with and even get ahead of climate change. In a commentary for the journal Earth’s Future, UC Santa Barbara climate scientist Chris Funk and co-authors assert that predicting the droughts that cause severe food insecurity in the Eastern Horn of Africa (Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia) is now possible, with months-long lead times that allow for measures to be taken that can help millions of the region’s farmers and pastoralists prepare for and adapt to the lean seasons.”
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