by Paul Douglas | Jun 3, 2022 | Weather
Tornado simulationNCAR Tornadoes Are Rare – And Maddeningly Random ”I never thought it would happen here.” The odds of being personally impacted by a tornado are the rough statistical equivalent of being struck by lightning, or winning the Lotto. Twister are...
by Paul Douglas | Jun 2, 2022 | Weather
Paul Douglas Odds Favor Hotter Than Average Summer Welcome to “Meteorological Summer”. Forget the calendar on the wall (or on your phone) because as far as the atmosphere is concerned summer begins closer to June 1. That’s right. If you look at historical data, the 90...
by Paul Douglas | Jun 1, 2022 | Weather
The Conversation, NOAA NHC Cooler Spell – Troubling Hurricane Trends We get our fair share of wild weather but at least we don’t have to worry about hurricanes. When my self-satisfied Florida friends ping me in January to ask how I’m holding up, I gently remind...
by Paul Douglas | May 26, 2022 | Weather
ECMWF Rainfall by Monday eveningweatherbell.com Holiday Weekend Brings Warm Front (and Thunder) Holiday weekend? Wait, let me run and get my umbrella. Better yet, grab the wet suit, fins and snorkel. Springs are trending wetter in Minnesota. Not every year, but most....
by Paul Douglas | May 26, 2022 | Weather
NOAA Holiday Weekend Weather Grade: B+ Meteorologists want to get it right, especially on holiday weekends. More people are outdoors, at the mercy of the elements, more attuned to the sky draped overhead. If weather turns out better than predicted, great! But woe unto...
by Paul Douglas | May 25, 2022 | Weather
A Few Rounds of Holiday Weekend Thunder I’m not ashamed to admit that I’m a ceraunophile. Before you call the authorities, a ceraunophile is someone who loves thunderstorms. What a geek, I know. For the record I can live without the crazy supercell thunderstorms that...
by Paul Douglas | May 20, 2022 | Weather
Paul Douglas Minnesota: Land of Abundant Fresh Water Well, the drought is over. We have that going for us this year, with water levels on many area lakes up 1-2 feet since mid-March, and ample soil moisture for farmers. Now if it can only stay dry enough for them to...
by Paul Douglas | May 19, 2022 | Weather
Significant Severe Storm Risk Later Today In a meteorological blink of an eye. I’m continually amazed how fast we can go from laughing kids, droning lawn mowers and chirping birds to growling skies, startled shouts and blaring sirens. Minnesota weather will never be...
by Paul Douglas | May 18, 2022 | Weather
NOAA NHC Dueling Weather Forecasts Can Be Confusing Why do weather forecasts change over time, and why do different meteorologists predict different things? Good question. Outlooks change as new data arrives from a variety of sources, including satellites, weather...
by Paul Douglas | May 16, 2022 | Weather
Paul Douglas A Spring Like Nothing I Can Quite Remember Captain’s Log. Stardate 20220517: Spring’s infestation came in waves. First came the boxelder bugs. Although they may have never left. Then came ceaseless winds, followed by jumping worms, then over 200 severe...
