National Weather Forecast
The main story on Saturday will be the stubborn upper-level low-pressure area across the Southwest that will continue to produce some showers and storms, as well as some light snow in the higher terrain. Some storms will be possible in southern Florida with the advancing cold front, and some lake effect rain showers will be possible by Saturday Night in the Northeast. Otherwise, high pressure dominates much of the country. A perfect day for some leaf peeping!
The best chance of heavy rain through Sunday will be across parts of the Southwest into the Texas Panhandle, where 1-3” of rain could fall. Meanwhile, an additional 0.25-0.5” of rain could fall in southern Florida.
Top National Weather Service meteorologists scour damage zone to improve future hurricane forecasts
More from WGCU: “Weather researchers and forecasters from NOAA were among the hurricane experts who traveled to Fort Myers to look for subtle clues left behind by Hurricane Ian that might help improve the forecast during future tropical cyclones. Brian LaMarre, chief meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Tampa, was leading his colleagues from NOAA on the damage survey even though this isn’t where Ian made landfall. But San Carlos Island is where winds howled at nearly 150 miles per hour and storm surge reached 15 feet. The boats still up in the trees prove it. “It is a worst-case scenario,” LaMarre said of the whole Fort Meyers Beach region. “I think we at the National Weather Service would be failing in our jobs if we did not use this event as an opportunity to learn and also to capture how significant and how deadly the impacts have been in this area.””
Draconid meteor shower 2022: Moonlight and meteors
More from EarthSky: “The Draconid shower – also called the Giacobinids – is a real oddity, in that its radiant point stands highest in the sky as darkness falls. That’s why you’ll see more Draconids in the evening hours than in the morning hours after midnight. But in 2022, the full or nearly full moon is in the way. Predicted peak: October 9, 2022, at 1 UTC (evening of October 8 for the Americas). When to watch: There’s no dark window for watching the Draconids in 2022. If you want to watch in moonlight, try the evening (not the morning) of October 8. You might catch some on the evenings before and after as well.”
Study: Warming winters will thaw frozen manure, further polluting U.S. waters
More from Grist: “As winters warm, pollution caused by chemicals common in industrial agriculture practices will increase dramatically across nearly half of the United States. That’s according to a new study that says nutrient pollution—chemicals from fertilizer and manure like nitrogen and phosphorus—pollutes lakes, rivers, and groundwater and has been linked to toxic algae blooms in waterways, contaminated drinking water, and mass die-offs of marine life. The study found that when winters are warmer, rain is more common, causing melt and subsequent runoff of soil packed with nutrients and chemicals. Researchers also found that at warmer winter temperatures, microbial activity occurs in the soil, prompting more nitrogen to develop and get into groundwater. Increased rain-on-snow events could increase nitrogen and phosphorus levels across 40 percent of the contiguous U.S.”
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– D.J. Kayser