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Weather Discussion
Are Weather Forecasts About To Become More Accurate – Glass Fire Burning an Acre Every 5 Seconds
A Raw Weekend But Weather Mellows Next Week Weather is a metaphor for life: an unpredictable mash-up of good and bad, with only the illusion of control. In my muddled mind I consider the blustery showers rushing past my window cosmic payback for last week's 80s. The...
Heat and Wildfires Western USA – First Flakes Northern Minnesota by Saturday?
November-ish This Week, Septemberlike Next Week Winston Churchill said "We make a living by what we get. We make a life by what we give". I'm trying to call at least one friend, family member or colleague every day, to check in and say hi - see how they're doing. It's...
Cold Snap Coming – Drought Worsens Western USA – NOAA Model Upgrade Looks Out 35 Days
NOAA Takes Steps To Catch Up to ECMWF For the record, I'd like American Exceptionalism to apply to weather model accuracy. My take: The National Weather Service is the best on the planet, but in recent years the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather...
La Nina Winter – Zombie Storms – 5 of California’s 6 Largest Wildfires Occurred During Last 2 Months
La Nina Now Likely This Winter I've consulted my therapist and my winter outlook remains unchanged: "Colder with some snow". It's the details (when, where, how much?) that trip me up every time. According to NOAA, a La Nina cooling phase in the Pacific Ocean should...
“Teddy” Strikes Canada, “Beta” Floods Houston, Zombie-Storm “Paulette” On Map Again
2020: A Disruptive Year For Weather Too "There are two ways to be fooled. One, to believe what isn't true. The other is to refuse to believe what is true" wrote 19th century Danish philosopher Soren Kierkegaard. The way 2020 is turning out it's tempting not to believe...
Tracking “Beta” and “Teddy” – October Temperature Trends Over The Years
The Limits of Long Range Forecasting "Paul, please help. My little girl is having an outdoor wedding on October 11. Any idea what the weather will be?" Yes I do. Changeable. It might be easier to predict where the stock market will be on October 11. There is (some)...