by Paul Douglas | Sep 25, 2020 | Weather
NOAA Takes Steps To Catch Up to ECMWF For the record, I’d like American Exceptionalism to apply to weather model accuracy. My take: The National Weather Service is the best on the planet, but in recent years the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 24, 2020 | Weather
La Nina Now Likely This Winter I’ve consulted my therapist and my winter outlook remains unchanged: “Colder with some snow”. It’s the details (when, where, how much?) that trip me up every time. According to NOAA, a La Nina cooling phase in the...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 23, 2020 | Weather
2020: A Disruptive Year For Weather Too “There are two ways to be fooled. One, to believe what isn’t true. The other is to refuse to believe what is true” wrote 19th century Danish philosopher Soren Kierkegaard. The way 2020 is turning out it’s...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 22, 2020 | Weather
The Limits of Long Range Forecasting “Paul, please help. My little girl is having an outdoor wedding on October 11. Any idea what the weather will be?” Yes I do. Changeable. It might be easier to predict where the stock market will be on October 11. There...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 18, 2020 | Weather
Finding The Good In Every Season “Embrace the Suck.” My youngest son is a Naval aviator. He was given that sage advice during Plebe Summer at the Naval Academy in Annapolis. Translation: try to turn any negative into a positive. Look for the good –...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 17, 2020 | Weather
A Quiet, Lukewarm Pattern for Minnesota Climate refugees? Maybe Bangladesh or the Maldive Islands in the Pacific, but here in the U.S.? As a warming climate makes naturally-occurring fires, floods and hurricanes more intense experts predict a slow-motion migration...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 9, 2020 | Weather
Meteorological Comfort Food Returns Next Week I’ve never needed coping skills more than I do in 2020 – and I suspect I’m not alone. Prayer, comfort food, a few good novels, kayaking and Netflix (without the chill). Physical distancing is so much...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 7, 2020 | Weather
The United States of Weather Extremes 2020 has been a volatile, jaw-dropping year – and disruption applies to America’s weather. In recent days I’ve witnessed things I’ve never seen before. 121F in the suburbs of Los Angeles. A 5 year drought...
by D.J. Kayser | Aug 30, 2020 | Weather
National Weather Forecast For the last day of August Monday, we’ll watch a cold front sinking south and east across the Great Lakes to the Southern Plains with showers and thunderstorms. A stationary front and slow-moving area of low pressure will bring rain...
by D.J. Kayser | Aug 26, 2020 | Briefings, Weather
This is a sample of the briefing we sent to our clients the morning of Wednesday, August 26th, 2020, on major Hurricane Laura and its expected impacts on the Gulf Coast. Find Out About Our Custom Weather Briefings Praedictix Briefing: Wednesday morning, August 26th,...
